TORONTO (Nov. 30) — Let me start, today, by repeating the impetus for my last blog: If the Maple Leafs allow Mitch Marner to don another National Hockey League jersey, it will be the largest blunder in franchise history. Bigger than trading Frank Mahovlich. Bigger than Lanny McDonald. Bigger than anything the club has lost. Ever.
The irony of my opening sentence should be apparent to all within Leafs Nation: The club has zero control over whichever path Marner chooses, having ceded management of the critical issue to the player with a full, no–movement clause. In other words, mis–management of the highest order. The No. 1 objective, therefore, should be to minimize the chance of Marner walking, next summer, as an unrestricted free agent. Again, understanding the player makes the final call, there could be an opportunity, at the moment, for the Maple Leafs to preserve some honor in this situation. By discussing a trade with the New York Rangers that would never be executed were the circumstances equal. But, one that, today, offers benefit to all parties — the Leafs, the Rangers and Marner.
If I were Maple Leafs general manager Brad Treliving, I’d be on the phone to Rangers counterpart Chris Drury. My bid would be: “Chris, if I can get Marner to waive his no–move for your team, would [Chris] Kreider agree to come to us?” Simple and to the point. The aforementioned Chris Kreider is a 33–year–old vet with the Blueshirts, coming off seasons of 39, 36 and 52 goals. He’s in the midst of a seven–year, $45.5 million contract signed with the Rangers in 2020 that encompasses a modest $6.5 million of cap space per season. In the final three years of the pact, Kreider can present the Rangers a 15–team, no–trade list. Which, for the purpose of this blog, would obviously have to exclude Toronto. If Kreider consents to a deal, Treliving then approaches Marner, thusly: “Look, Mitch, we can trade your negotiating rights to the Rangers for Chris Kreider. I think New York would make you a wonderful contract offer beyond this season. We understand it’s up to you. All I would ask, if you’re willing to contemplate, is an answer within 72 hours.” If Marner says “okay, let me think about it”, Treliving telephones Drury with the news. Both clubs — and Kreider — hold their breath for up to three days. Hardly the end of civilization.
Now, again, were everything equal, the Leafs would not consider swapping Marner, 27, for a player six years his senior. Particularly given how well Marner has performed during much of November in the absence of Auston Matthews. Sadly for the Leafs, this wouldn’t be a circumstance that can drag on toward the NHL trade deadline. The Rangers need the maximum time available with Marner’s negotiating rights before July 1. Acquiring said privileges in the next two weeks, rather than three months from now, is a virtual necessity. New York has underachieved this season after starting as a prime Stanley Cup contender. At a pedestrian 13–9–1 for 27 points, the Rangers need a spark. Can you envision a more–explosive one than Mitch Marner? Meantime, the Leafs would acquire a veteran with nine goals this season… and zero assists. Kreider, too, might benefit from a jersey swap.
What the Leafs would lose in artistry and production, they would gain in playoff experience and savvy. Over the past three years, Kreider has appeared in 43 post–season games, contributing 24 goals and 14 assists for 38 points. During the same period, Marner has skated in 25 playoff matches, accruing six goals, 19 assists and 25 points. Again, very possibly a good trade for both teams — the Leafs, today; the Rangers in the upcoming decade. Toronto wouldn’t likely sustain a rapid decrease in scoring. A front forward line of Matthews, Kreider and William Nylander would rank among the top units in the Eastern Conference; possibly the entire NHL. So, there is no logic for the Maple Leafs to remain idle on the Marner front. As the saying goes: nothing ventured, nothing gained.
O.J. SIMPSON AND THE ’94 RANGERS
During mid–June of 1994, I was in New York with my then–wife, Susan, for a wedding on her side of the family. It was held at the LaGuardia Airport Marriott. We arrived a few days early so I could cover Game 5 of the Stanley Cup final at Madison Square Garden. For The FAN–1430, as the radio station was known. The Rangers held a commanding, 3–1 lead over the Vancouver Canucks and all of New York was preparing for a celebration. TONIGHT’S THE NIGHT! screamed the front page of the New York Post, superimposed over an image of the Stanley Cup. Alas, the Canucks (coached by Pat Quinn) chose to not cooperate. They coughed up a 3–0 lead in the third period; the Rangers nearly bringing down the old arena with goals, in a 5:35 span, by Doug Lidster, Steve Larmer and Mark Messier. But, the crowd — still standing and cheering — watched in horror as Pavel Bure clicked for the visitors just 29 seconds later. Geoff Courtnall and Bure added goals for a stunning, 6–3 Vancouver triumph (it remains among the most–incredible playoff games I covered during my 23–year career in radio).
The wedding was held on the Saturday night of Game 6, at the old Pacific Coliseum in Vancouver. Again, the Canucks faced elimination. Again, they survived, with a convincing 4–1 victory. Setting up a decisive match, three nights later, at the Garden. Susan went home after the wedding and I moved from the LaGuardia Marriot into the old Sheraton on 53rd St. I was therefore in New York not only when the Rangers won their first Stanley Cup in 54 years… but also when the O.J. Simpson story broke. That the Hall–of–Fame running back with the Buffalo Bills was a suspect in a double–murder that involved his ex–wife, Nicole Brown. It occurred in Brentwood, an upscale neighborhood of west Los Angeles, during the overnight hours of June 12–23, 1994 and immediately became nationwide news. Evolving, as we know, into a nine–month trial covered, gavel–to–gavel, by Court TV for the world to watch. The so–called Trial of the Century that ended with Simpson walking free amid a mountain of physical and forensic evidence pointing toward him… and no one else. I’ve kept the tabloids purchased while in New York:
EMAIL: HOWARDLBERGER@GMAIL.COM
Howard – do you think the Leafs have a Kaprizov in Grebenkin? I’m thinking if Grebenkin is another Kaprizov Leafs will be alright if Marner jumps ship. Grebenkin has been pretty good the last few games. Grebenkin is 6’2 and Kaprizov is 5’10 so that is a plus for Grebenkin. Both Russians were picked 5th round # 135 . What are the odds of that? In the KHL at age 20 Kaprizov was 15 25 42 and Grebenkin was 19 22 41. I was excited when I read Grebenkin could be the Leafs biggest draft steal of all time right after last year when Cowan was the biggest steal of all time.
Stay grounded. Grebenkin has played fewer than 10 NHL games. Way too early for a Kaprizov comparison.
Cool Stats. Grebenkin looks like he will be an NHL player. Leafs have some good looking prospects. Hope they keep them.
I see Mitch more of a California guy…
It’s okay: the Rangers go to California once a season.
The only way that move makes sense is if the Rangers added quite a bit more. If the buds were to trade Marner to a contender at the deadline, they would command a top prospect, a first round pick and probably a second round pick; give or take. That’s assuming Marner would consider a trade out of Toronto as a mutual parting of ways. If not, the Leafs are stuck with him as a pretty good rental, and yes, that likely means a quick playoff exit.
Love him or hate him, Marner is a T20 player in the NHL and a likely hall of famer. Contending teams would line up to acquire him if he were available. If he’s willing to waive for a contender, I believe there is a better deal than a one-for-one for Kreider, if that’s truly what it is. If the rangers were to include a prospect and a pick, then I’d consider it. As you said, Kreider is aging and may already be finished.
If Brad were to move Marner for Kreider straight-up, with the expectation that Kreider will lead the buds to the promised land, he is essentially signing his death warrant as GM of the team. But, these are the same Leafs, that sold Kenny Jonsson and a 1st (Luongo) for an old Wendel Clarke, so nothing would surprise me anymore.
You’re dreaming. And, refusing to accept the extenuating circumstances. This wouldn’t be a “hockey” trade. A “business” trade, yes, that would allow the Leafs to recoup a good asset (Kreider) in case Marner walks.
Both teams need to do something different. Your trade allows Toronto to $ave cap space. Toronto is winning games, but they are not dominating. They almost blew the win against the Lightening when they allowed Tampa to score 3 goals.
Marner excels playing both ways.
You don’t consider that.
Marner is 6 years younger. Krieder can hit the age wall any time now as most 33 yr old UFAs do.
Marner wants to play in Toronto. How about something novel like focusing on a team friendly deal.
Yup, just stay the same. Forget nearly a decade of failure in the playoffs. No wonder you’re “Anonymous”.